"A wise and frugal government which shall restrain men
from injuring one another, which shall leave them otherwise free to regulate their own pursuits of industry and improvement, and shall not take from the mouth of labor the bread it has earned. This is the sum of good government."
(Thomas Jefferson)


Showing posts with label Federal Reserve. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Federal Reserve. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

DOW Down over 500 points today after Bernanke Looks to have Thrown in the Towel on the Economy On Tuesday

Fed Chair Bernanke should have listened to the three dissenters from Dallas, Philadelphia, and Minneapolis Feds when they opposed setting a date into 2013 which closed off some options and sent the wrong signal -- they were right as witnessed in the Dow falling 519.83, S&P 51.77, and NASDAQ 101.47.  Five major companies delayed announcing their 2nd quarter results until AFTER the market closed 11 minutes ago.

Figured there was going to be fallout from the Bernanke pushing the lid on interest rates into the middle of 2013 and there was.  The gains from yesterday were lost and more.

Big news is also out that the SEC is  investigating Goldman-Sachs to see if they broke bribery laws on Libya.  Goldman-Sachs is said to be too big to fail but just maybe they are too big and forgot what it was like to be honest.  There are too many people with Goldman-Sachs ties in the Government and just maybe it is time to start looking outside of Wall Street to fill positions.

Another bad day for Wall Street and the American economy thanks to Bernanke from what we have been hearing on Bloomberg.
Bernanke has thrown in towel on economy
@CNNMoney August 10, 2011: 1:43 PM ET 
NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Is the Federal Reserve waving the white surrender flag? It sure looks that way. 
The Fed made the unusual (and unprecedented) move on Tuesday to tell the market in plain English that it intends to keep rates near zero for the next two years
That is disappointing on many levels. First and foremost, it is a crystal clear sign from Ben Bernanke and other Fed members that they think the economic recovery (if one could still call it that) will remain tepid for a long time. 
That is probably one of the reasons that the post-Fed euphoria on Tuesday afternoon on Wall Street quickly gave way to despair again on Wednesday. 
This is not good. The Great Recession may have technically ended in June 2009. But for many Americans, this current malaise is just an extension of the problems that first began to surface in 2007. Lost Decade anyone? 
Yes, that's a Japan reference. And it's sadly apt. The Fed, by pledging to leave short-term rates "exceptionally low" for what will eventually amount to a four-and-a-half-year stretch, is essentially guaranteeing that long-term bond rates will remain persistently low -- just like in Japan. 
The yield on the 10-year Treasury is at about 2.13%. Yields actually briefly touched the all-time low from December 2008 of 2.03% on Tuesday after the Fed announcement before bouncing back. 
Would it be any surprise if the 10-year soon had a 1 handle on it like there is for Japan's 10-year bonds? That would be extremely troubling. The time to emulate Japan's economy was in the 1980s. Not now. 
Recession 2.0 would hurt worse 
It's even more ironic since Bernanke criticized the Bank of Japan in a paper in 1999 while he still was a professor at Princeton. The title? "Japanese Monetary Policy: A Case of Self-Induced Paralysis?" 
I have several more bones to pick with the Fed. Why did the central bank feel that it was a good idea to put a specific time frame on when it will raise rates in the first place? Even if it was mid-2012 that would have been silly. 
I'm all for transparency. And the Fed under Bernanke is clearly a lot less opaque than it was under Alan Greenspan. But sometimes the Fed can give the markets, to use teen texting parlance, TMI. 
The Fed has now effectively boxed itself in regardless of what the economy does over the next few months and year. Sure, it seems impossible now to think that the economy will pick up dramatically anytime soon. But keep in mind that economists, the market and the Fed are often wrong. 
Excerpt:  Read More at CNN Money 

Tuesday, August 9, 2011

Bernanke Timeframe on Key Interest Rate Provokes Most Dissents (3) Since 1992


Is Bernanke turning into a dictator at the Federal Reserve?  This is the most dissent for a Fed Chairman since 1992 so you have to wonder how much of this is politics to protect Obama.  Call me a skeptic, but this smells big time to actually say what the rate is going to stay until the middle of 2013.  Does that mean if a Republican is elected Bernanke will run to raise the key interest rate in the middle of 2013?  Do I think he could be that political?  Absolutely!  

Could be really wrong but all of this smells big time.  Why was it necessary to name a date that far in the future?  Don't know much about the Fed but when three of the regional Fed Chairs from Dallas, Philadephia, and Minneapolis object, there is something wrong.  
Bernanke Timeframe on Key Interest Rate Provokes Most Dissents Since 1992 
Ben S. Bernanke lost the full consensus of the Federal Open Market Committee as he reached for another non-traditional tool and provoked three dissenting votes in the process -- the most for a Federal Reserve chairman since 1992. 
For the first time today, U.S. central bankers specified a date for their commitment to low borrowing costs, saying the benchmark rate will stay in a range of zero to 0.25 percent at least through mid-2013. The new language replaces their prior promise to keep rates low for an “extended period.” 
Today’s decision shows that a Fed chief can govern with more than two opposing votes, and it opens the door to bolder action if necessary, said Roberto Perli, a former economist in the Fed’s Division of Monetary Affairs, which helps craft the language of the FOMC statements. 
“We have reached the point where Bernanke is taking control and saying we have to do the right thing no matter how many people dissent,” said Perli, a managing director at International Strategy & Investment Group in Washington. “It shows the committee can move forward.”
Seven members of the panel favored the action. Richard Fisher, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Charles Plosser of Philadelphia and Narayana Kocherlakota of Minneapolis voted no, preferring to maintain the existing “extended period” language. The last time three FOMC voters dissented was on Nov. 17, 1992, under Bernanke’s predecessor, Alan Greenspan. 
History of Discomfort 
Fed officials have a long history of discomfort with pledges that limit their policy flexibility, minutes of their meetings show. The deterioration of the economic outlook, and the limits of monetary policy when interest rates are already near zero, prompted Bernanke to opt for the time commitment -- even at the cost of three dissenting votes, said former Fed Governor Laurence Meyer.  
Source:  Bloomberg,com