Take a look at these results. First is Arizona who has the second largest concentration of Mormons outside of Utah and a Governor and Senator who endorsed Romney. When you add the voting turnout which is low, Romney wins. In one precinct 45 out of 3000 had cast their votes by 9 a.m. Since Arizona is a retirement destination, retirees normally turn out early to vote. The enthusiasm is not there for the Republican primary. Maybe if Romney had not decided to spend millions in 'scorched earth' against fellow Republicans enthusiasm might be better but a lot of of us had heartburn with Romney and his underhanded tactics against our candidates in 2008 so we didn't want him to run. We have been proven right as enthusiasm is not there for him even in states where he is winning.
You take out the Mormon support who are turning out to rallies and the support is not very deep. When a candidate can only win their home state by 3% you have problems. Declaring victory and momentum going into Tuesday? Would say that is a little premature.
Candidate | Pct. | |
---|---|---|
Romney | 47.3% | |
Santorum | 26.6 | |
Gingrich | 16.2 | |
Pau | 8.4 | |
Others | 1.5 |
Candidate | Pct. | |
---|---|---|
Romney | 41.1% | |
Santorum | 37.9 | |
Paul | 11.6 | |
Gingrich | 6.5 | |
Others | 2.9 |
"a guy who can only win in states with a home state advantage, New Englanders and New England transplants, and Mormoms. There are a lot more outside those categories than inside them and that is shaping up to cause him heartburn on Super Tuesday. "
Romney attracting independents and democrats in New Hampshire primary = demonstration of appeal outside the base
Santorum attracting independents and democrats in Michigan primary = betrayal of conservative principles and proof he can’t win against Obama.
Romney running robocalls = Dont whine
Santorum running robocalls = whining about dirty tactics
I just want to make sure I understand how it works.
MB (abbreviated screen name)
Posted by Erick Erickson (Diary)Wednesday, February 29th at 4:45AM EST
When you have a candidate few people really like, whose support is a mile wide and an inch deep, whose raison d’etre (a 4am fancy word) is fixing an economy that is fixing itself without him, and who only wins his actual, factual home state by three percentage points against a guy no one took seriously only two months ago, there really is little reason for independent voters in the general election to choose him if the economy keeps improving.
Seriously, putting it bluntly, conservatives may not like Barack Obama, but most other people do. And when faced with a guy you like and a guy you don’t like who says he can fix an economy that no longer needs fixing, you’re going to go with the guy you like.
If Republicans in Washington are not panicked and trying desperately to pull Bobby Jindal in the race tomorrow, or someone like him, the party leaders must have a death wish.Mitt Romney continues to run an uninspiring campaign only able to win by massively outspending his
opponents to tell voters how much worse the other guys are. That may work in the primary, but it will not work in a general election where the President of the United States won’t be outspent 5 to 1.
Three percentage points. In his home state. In his wife’s home state. In the state his father served as Governor. Three percentage points against a guy few took seriously two months ago and who just three weeks ago no one expected to give Romney a run for his money in Romney’s home state.
And this is our nominee — a guy who can only win in states with a home state advantage, New Englanders and New England transplants, and Mormoms. There are a lot more outside those categories than inside them and that is shaping up to cause him heartburn on Super Tuesday.
And let me tell you what else is going to happen: Democrats sense such a strong vulnerability now and sniff a chance of a Santorum nomination, they aren’t going to wait for the general election to start dumping oppo research on Romney. Get ready Romney supporters, this is just the opening salvo.
But I suspect he will be the nominee. At least we can be rid of him and, hopefully, his most ardent cheerleaders on November 7th when what the rest of us know will happen unless an economic catastrophe happens. Excerpt: Read More at Red State
Romney Regains Stride With Victories in 2 States
SOUTHFIELD, Mich. — Mitt Romney fought back a vigorous challenge from Rick Santorum in Michigan on Tuesday, narrowly carrying his native state, and won the Arizona primary in a pair of contests that reasserted his control over the Republican presidential race as it advances to critical Super Tuesday contests next week.
His victory over Mr. Santorum here in Michigan was far from commanding, but it was most likely sufficient to dampen the rising clamor from across the Republican Party about his ability to win over conservatives and connect with voters. The tussle with Mr. Santorum highlighted ample concerns about Mr. Romney, but his win spared his campaign from deep turmoil.
Excerpt: Read More at the NY TimesLess then a week left of Romney ads in Oklahoma on my sports radio channel. The ad talks about the companies he saved at Bain Capital -- as some have said -- saved them and sent the jobs overseas. Not an effective ad for Romney here in Oklahoma. I detest political ads when I like a candidate -- it is worse when I don't. Keep turning my sound down on my radio when Romney comes on the air with his annoying ad that seems to go on forever.
House and Senate races are moving to the forefront as there has been some Romney supporter shenanigans in the South Florida races but Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio came to the rescue there for Cong Allen West and have endorsed Adam Hasner who pulled out of the FL primary for the Republican nomination for Senate to run for Congress. Florida Senate seat is turning nasty once again. People in Florida must be really tired of the north-easterners who have moved to Florida and brought their corrupt and underhanded politics with them. Makes you appreciate living in a state like Oklahoma all the more!
Beautiful spring day in the Heartland which I am about to go enjoy!