What are members of the national media going to do on the evening of November 2nd. Is MSNBC going into a total meltdown mode with Chris Matthews and Keith Olbermann? It might be fun to watch but even that won't make us turn to MSNBC. The one to watch is going to be CNN since they are under new management. Will they spin or tell it like it is? Watch for a Juan Williams meltdown on Fox News! Should be an interesting evening to watch the cable news although no MSNBC in this house.
This article is one of the best articles we have read about what is happening with polling and media spin right now to try to help the Democrats. Sure glad that we are not as dumb as the Democrats and media think we are. This spin on Election Polling prior to the election went into high gear in 2000 and has gotten worse with the spin every general election since.
We laughed in 2004 about the polls that were far apart that made zero sense but 'miraculously' tightened and flipped right before elections. The only poll that counts are on election day. Turnout will be the key for Republicans to win big on November 2nd.
Election Polling is All about the Spin
By Bobby Eberle
October 5, 2010 7:13 AM
Election Day is just a month away, and already media outlets are trying to spin the election polling. Headlines are popping up such as "Has the GOP peaked?" which are intended to cast doubt on the undeniable wave sweeping the country. The fact is, if you look at the polls without the spin, you'll see the possibility of the Democrats suffering major defeats. However, the ballots are not cast today. There is still much to do, and there are plenty of opportunities for the media to help spin this election.
First, a look at some numbers. A newly-released Gallup poll shows that Republicans are leading Democrats in the "generic ballot poll" by 46% to 43%. Republicans have led for months on the generic ballot question, but the real test is how LIKELY voters feel. There are many, many registered voters who will not be setting foot in the voting booth. A more accurate assessment is to gauge the sentiments of likely voters.
In the case of likely voters, the results change dramatically. With a "high turnout" on Election Day, Republicans lead 53% to 40%. With a low turnout, the lead is 56% to 38%. In either case, it doesn't look good for Democrats, and as Gallup points out, the real key is that "independents in both likely voter models skew strongly toward the Republican candidate.
A new Rasmussen Reports poll shows a similar 3-point edge for Republicans on the generic congressional ballot. As pointed out in the article, however, "among voters not affiliated with either major party, Republicans hold an 18-point lead." Rasmussen also notes that for the second consecutive month, the number of Americans who identify themselves as Democrats has fallen to a record low."
But this is NOT the time to be complacent. Investors.com reminds readers that there is plenty of spin out there claiming that "Democrats may avoid a wipeout in a month. Martin Frost is even so bold as to suggest that Democrats will keep the House." This is a desperate attempt to generate some excitement so that Democrat voters will turn out. Conservatives need to do the same thing and always keep in mind that the media are not on our side.
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There is a lot of work to do between now and Election Day, and the only ones on YOUR side are your fellow grassroots conservatives. The elections will be won by getting people to the polls who believe in lower taxes, less government, and more freedom. The media are not on our side, but we don't need them to get the job done.
Read more: GOP USA.com
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